Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.010441 0.012511 0.015061 0.018499 0.023114 0.029253 0.038327
2025-05-25 0.007488 0.009697 0.012748 0.017457 0.024928 0.037121 0.060621
2025-06-01 0.006007 0.008156 0.011344 0.016729 0.026358 0.044797 0.089778
2025-06-08 0.005281 0.007459 0.010893 0.017181 0.029767 0.058140 0.149111
2025-06-15 0.004638 0.006740 0.010206 0.016951 0.031722 0.070035 0.230704
2025-06-22 0.004028 0.005964 0.009254 0.015930 0.031514 0.076458 0.313546
2025-06-29 0.003697 0.005595 0.008934 0.016061 0.034075 0.093829 0.540611
2025-07-06 0.003485 0.005393 0.008873 0.016711 0.038348 0.123162 1.181822
2025-07-13 0.003368 0.005338 0.009076 0.018013 0.045372 0.178241 4.339300
2025-07-20 0.003199 0.005163 0.009007 0.018643 0.050797 0.241012 25.131578
2025-07-27 0.003004 0.004917 0.008748 0.018718 0.054394 0.305895 767.759238
2025-08-03 0.002838 0.004707 0.008532 0.018853 0.058458 0.396535 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002616 0.004384 0.008071 0.018317 0.060054 0.486054 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002383 0.004021 0.007477 0.017272 0.058804 0.541190 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002199 0.003739 0.007028 0.016554 0.058822 0.632785 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002104 0.003626 0.006956 0.017000 0.065655 0.993851 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001983 0.003447 0.006699 0.016773 0.068572 1.357560 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001834 0.003198 0.006243 0.015766 0.065782 1.446018 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001755 0.003090 0.006123 0.015895 0.070978 2.299872 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001706 0.003041 0.006142 0.016536 0.081058 5.123431 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001685 0.003051 0.006312 0.017819 0.099326 25.451703 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001639 0.002999 0.006311 0.018440 0.113480 249.680188 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001576 0.002905 0.006186 0.018514 0.122415 263112.008778 NaN